1. I don't see why populism should be identified as in-group vs. out-group, when at its core it just means to appeal to the people as a whole. Citing academic works doesn't really mean that much when we're talking about something with a subjective definition and the scholars themselves will be biased.PorcelainLark wrote: Mon Feb 17, 2025 5:04 pmPopulism depends on the construction of an in-group and vilification of an out-group. The hostility towards the out-group means populism can't be co-opted. Populism is based on the sense of threat from an out-group, so as long as we are perceived as a threat by the majority, we will be vilified in order to build and maintain support for populism.Artaxerxes II wrote: Sun Feb 16, 2025 10:49 pm How so? I see no reason why we shouldn't appeal to young men, many of whom are rejecting liberalism for populism. Like it or not, unless we play both sides, MAPs will be on a sinking ship sooner than later. So what' the harm in appealing to the cohort most likely to throw a revolution, which is young men of fighting age, most of whom are shifting to the right?
Mudde, C., & Kaltwasser, C. (2017). Populism: A very short introduction. Oxford University Press. [p. 11]It is worth noting that this meaning of the people tends to be both integrative and divisive: not only does it attempt to unite an angry and silent majority, but it also tries to mobilize this majority against a defined enemy (e.g., “the establishment”).
BOS, L., SCHEMER, C., CORBU, N., HAMELEERS, M., ANDREADIS, I., SCHULZ, A., SCHMUCK, D., REINEMANN, C. and FAWZI, N. (2020), The effects of populism as a social identity frame on persuasion and mobilisation: Evidence from a 15-country experiment.The identification process underlying populist communication can be regarded as populist identity framing by combining the construction of in-group favouritism and out-group hostility (Mols 2012; Tajfel & Turner 1986).
ibid.By priming in-group favourability and out-group hostility, it constructs a severe threat to the people's in-group status, which is likely to enhance a subjective sense of injustice among those who identify with this in-group (e.g., Elchardus & Spruyt 2016; Van Zomeren et al. 2008). Research in the field of identity framing has indicated that in-group mobilisation results from priming a severe threat to the well-being of the group (e.g., Postmes et al. 1999; Van Zomeren et al. 2008), motivating the in-group to take action (e.g., Simon & Klandermans 2001). It is exactly this injustice that is central to the populist identity frame.
Mudde, C., & Kaltwasser, C. (2017). Populism: A very short introduction. Oxford University Press.
https://www2.daad.de/medien/mudde_rovir ... pulism.pdf
BOS, L., SCHEMER, C., CORBU, N., HAMELEERS, M., ANDREADIS, I., SCHULZ, A., SCHMUCK, D., REINEMANN, C. and FAWZI, N. (2020), The effects of populism as a social identity frame on persuasion and mobilisation: Evidence from a 15-country experiment.
https://ejpr.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/do ... 6765.12334
LGBT people already enjoyed relatively widespread acceptance. Being repressed by Trump won't bring them down to our level, because as soon as Democrats get back into power, LGBT people are back to being comparatively accepted in society. If there's evidence to the contrary, I'd be glad to hear it.Artaxerxes II wrote: Sun Feb 16, 2025 10:49 pmBy having the LGBTQ+ lobby marginalised from the mainstream establishment, it'll be easier for MAPs to gain leverage and thus have greater power when it comes to dealing with the LGBTQ+ folks. This is neither an endorsement nor a condemnation. It's just the inevitability that follows with trans exclusion, as shown by Trump's executive order defining gender as binary: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vdNRsCLRxhg
I see no reason why Trump would limit himself to just trans people, might as well go after the LGB too sooner or later.
As both groups (i.e., MAPs and the rainbow people) get put under the boot by Trump's chaotic second term, the probability of large segments of the rainbow people re-assessing their previous pedophobia will reach critical mass as they won't have much of a reason to exclude MAPs from their coalition.
One must be able to always make the best of any situation and, as far as I'm concerned, we don't have many card in our deck to play.
2. I don't see why one would think that membership within elite circles is going to suddenly shift between elections, when many components of the state and extensions of the state persist beyond administrations. For example: government agencies, judges, think tanks, NGOs/QuaNGOs, etc. Trump's defunding of USAID is an anomaly and we'll see to which degree it expands, but even if Democrats get in, if there is significant damage done, that damage cannot just be immediately reversed.
3. Societal views aren't going to rapidly shift based on who is in power. It is clear that there is a public sentiment against left-liberal parties in the West and that the motion of direction is definitely not in the direction of the liberal left and center.
4. The low-hanging fruit of identity politics and the liberal left and center has already been picked. There was a significant public interest in issues like gay marriage, gays in the military, with opposition coming primarily from the religious right. The only issue that really motivates the public in that direction at the current moment is abortion. While trans issues are obviously important to people who identify as trans, the greater public is not particularly motivated on this issue to the extent that it was about gays. While there might be some general sympathy for people who identify as trans, there is significantly more motivation in people who are opposed to the trans movement.
5. Hostility to MAPs is universal across the political spectrum, as is child protectionism. That means there is no strategic reason to have any inherent preference for the "left" or the "right". However, being that the establishment left already has a strongly established identity and narrative and the anti-establishment left has proven itself incapable of significantly challenging this, whereas this is not the case within the right, it means there should be a strategic thinking of where the most ground could be gained. In the battle between political correctness and anti-political correctness online, it is exceedingly common to see pictures of lolicon or young anime girls from the camp of anti-political correctness, which is today associated more with the right. The defense of free speech is also more common within elements of the right than within most of the left, as well, even if the implementation often leaves much to be desired. The point being that the right is currently much more ideologically diverse and open to pressure from different angles, whereas this is not the case with the left.
6. Ultimately the issue is not about MAPs or about ever-smaller subgroups of people, but about child protectionism. In the case of fearing gay/trans influence, the cultural right is generally very child protectionist, but in many other instances, this is not the case. Many people who could be identified as being on the cultural right are more open to children working earlier, less involvement of CPS, less government involvement in how people raise their children, homeschooling/unschooling, children engaging in dangerous activities (using knives, power tools, etc.)., and many other things. While this might not relate directly with MAPs, a more relaxed environment and less government intervention into the lives of parents and children is likely to increase the overall freedom that children can enjoy, which would change the social environment. This, in any case, is much more likely to have an effect than that the LGBT train will eventually reach the MAP station.